If you don’t know who Gordon E. Moore is, that’s okay. In a 1965 paper, Mr. Moore made a bold prediction about the future of the computer industry. Specifically, he stated that the number of transistors on an integrated circuit would double every two years or so. Since 1965, this prediction has been surprisingly accurate. So accurate, in fact, that it has come to be known as Moore’s Law.
Unfortunately, a noted theoretical physicist is suggesting that Moore’s Law will come to an end very soon. Michio Kaku says that while this exponential growth rate was able to continue for many years, it has become increasingly difficult for hardware manufacturers to continue at that torrid pace.
Eventually, we’re going to reach a limit with silicon-based computing, and that limit is coming closer and closer.
Of course, PC enthusiasts and people who want to speed up their PCs want to know what’s beyond silicon computing. Well, recent advances in quantum technology, string field theory, and other fields of research have been promising for the computer industry, and physicists have even been able to develop protein computers, DNA computers, and other microscopic chipboards.
Unfortunately, genuine quantum computers could be a long way off. Kaku, the famous physicist, says that quantum computing could be available in the late 21st century, but probably not sooner than that. He predicts that Moore’s Law will no longer ring true ten years from now.
So what does this mean for those who want a fast computer? Well, technology will continue to expand and grow, and today’s computer parts will still be obsolete ten years from now. In short, nothing will have changed, and if you want the fastest PC on the market today, you’re still going to have to rely on a mixture of top-class software and hardware.